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Elections

Snurb — Sunday 19 October 2025 03:24

A Semantic Approach to Narrative Structures in Facebook Comments during the 2022 Australian Federal Election

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Social Media | Facebook | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

And the final speaker in this final paper session at the AoIR 2025 conference is my QUT colleague Kate O’Connor-Farfan, who focusses on the 2022 Australian federal election. She begins by noting the tensions between scale and depth in social media analysis: computational methods often privilege scale over depth, and there are now attempts to overcome this with the use of LLMs.

Her work draws on data from the two leading candidates’ – Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese – Facebook pages, from which she extracted the key narrative structures. An preliminary analysis of the key terms used by these political …

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Snurb — Sunday 19 October 2025 03:20

Studying the 2025 Australian Federal Election Debates in a Fragmented Social Media Landscape

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Journalism | Industrial Journalism | Social Media | Facebook | Practice Mapping | Streaming Media | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

I presented the next paper at the AoIR 2025 conference, presenting the reflections of a large QUT team on how we might study election discussions across a wide range of social media platforms in the increasingly fragmented online platform environment. Here are our slides:

researching-cross-platform-campaigning-in-the-2025-australian-federal-electionfrom Axel Bruns
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Snurb — Sunday 19 October 2025 03:14

TikTok Users’ Encounters with Political Content during the 2025 German Federal Election

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Social Media | Streaming Media | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

The next speaker in this session at the AoIR 2025 conference is Lion Wedel, which also focusses on the role of TikTok during the 2025 German election. The project here was conducted in collaboration with several public service and commercial media organisations in Germany, and sought to examine what political content TikTok users in Germany actually encountered during the election campaign.

This relied crucially on data donations from TikTok users: it asked these users to download their TikTok data packages and donate these to the research project for aggregate analysis. Such projects often struggle with high drop-out rates; instead of …

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Snurb — Sunday 19 October 2025 03:10

Content Flows between Talkshows and TikTok in the 2025 German Federal Election

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Journalism | Social Media | Streaming Media | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

The next session at the AoIR 2025 conference is on online election debates, and starts with the great Felix Victor Münch, focussing on the 2025 German federal election. His focus here is especially on the role of TikTok during that election – how is this affecting electoral campaigning and public debate? TikTok itself has recently acted against some problematic practices during a range of elections, in fact.

There is some correlation, in fact, between TikTok engagement with Left Party posts and voting intention for the party over the final stages of the election campaign, but such patterns should not be …

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Snurb — Saturday 18 October 2025 10:14

Visibility and Attention towards Candidates in the 2024 São Paulo Mayoral Election

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Social Media | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

The next speaker in this session at the AoIR 2025 conference is the great Bruna Paroni, whose focus is on visual political communication on Instagram during Brazil’s 2024 local elections. These took place two years after the deeply polarising presidential elections, and the subsequent Bolsonarist coup attempt; the focus of the present study is especially on how these elections unfolded in São Paulo with its population of nine million registered voters.

In preparation, the Brazilian Electoral Court had made arrangements with several major platform providers to safeguard the elections, and indeed this led one mayoral candidate to be suspended several …

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Snurb — Saturday 18 October 2025 10:12

Themes in Pro-Bolsonaro Facebook Posts before the 8 January 2022 Coup Attempt

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Social Media | Facebook | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

The second presenter in this session at the AoIR 2025 conference is Felipe Soares, whose focus is on the Bolsonarist coup attempt in Brazil on 8 January 2022. This occurred after Bolsonaro’s close election loss in November 2022, which Bolsonaro disputed and which led his supporters to call for military intervention. By now, Bolsonaro has been sentenced to 27 years in prison for this coup attempt.

These events can be seen as a clear sign of deep-set destructive polarisation in Brazil: there is a breakdown of communication between the sides, an emotional exclusion of others, and a dismissal of information …

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Snurb — Saturday 18 October 2025 10:11

Assessing Polarisation in In- and Out-Group References by Political Actors in Elections

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | Social Media | Facebook | Dynamics of Partisanship and Polarisation in Online Public Debate (ARC Laureate Fellowship) | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

The final session today at the AoIR 2025 conference starts with my excellent QUT colleague Tariq Choucair, who begins by introducing the challenge of assessing polarisation: there are many different definitions of polarisation, which require different measures of assessment. Most current methods fail to sufficiently distinguish between these types of polarisation.

Tariq is therefore proposing a new approach to assessing polarisation, which he has applied to the study of national electoral contests in Australia, Brazil, Denmark, and Peru. The focus here is to identify polarising rhetoric, including campaign attacks, and polarisation in broader public debates.

The method focusses especially on …

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Snurb — Thursday 16 October 2025 23:20

Using LLMs to Identify Changes in Brazilian Hyperpartisan Communities around Bolsonaro’s Election Loss and Coup Attempt

Politics | Elections | Polarisation | 'Big Data' | Artificial Intelligence | Social Media | Echo Chambers and Filter Bubbles | Facebook | AoIR 2025 | Liveblog |

The final speaker in this session at the AoIR 2025 conference is the brilliant Fabio Giglietto, presenting a study of pro-Bolsonaro narratives on Facebook in Brazil. The key question here is whether online hyperpartisan groups are as stable as they are thought to be; is that true, and how does such stability fare in times of intense political crisis?

Brazil is an obvious case for the study of such questions. The project tracked some 59 pro-Bolsonaro accounts between 2021 and 2023, a timeframe including Bolsonaro’s election loss against Lula and his subsequent coup attempt. The dataset contains some 12 million …

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Snurb — Wednesday 15 October 2025 03:03

Tracking Shifts in Discursive Alliances: A Longitudinal Analysis of Australian Climate Change Discourses on Facebook through Practice Mapping (AoIR 2025)

Politics | Elections | Government | Polarisation | Journalism | ‘Fake News’ | Social Media | Facebook | Practice Mapping | Social Media Network Mapping | Dynamics of Partisanship and Polarisation in Online Public Debate (ARC Laureate Fellowship) | AoIR 2025 |

AoIR 2025

Tracking Shifts in Discursive Alliances: A Longitudinal Analysis of Australian Climate Change Discourses on Facebook through Practice Mapping

Axel Bruns

  • 18 Oct. 2025 – Paper by Axel Bruns, Carly Lubicz-Zaorski, Tariq Choucair, Laura Vodden, and Ehsan Dehghan, presented at the 2025 Association of Internet Researchers conference, Niterói, Rio de Janeiro

Presentation Slides

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Snurb — Wednesday 15 October 2025 02:54

Researching Cross-Platform Campaigning in the 2025 Australian Federal Election (AoIR 2025)

Politics | Elections | Government | Polarisation | Journalism | Industrial Journalism | ‘Fake News’ | 'Big Data' | Social Media | Facebook | Practice Mapping | Social Media Network Mapping | Dynamics of Partisanship and Polarisation in Online Public Debate (ARC Laureate Fellowship) | AoIR 2025 |

AoIR 2025

Researching Cross-Platform Campaigning in the 2025 Australian Federal Election

Axel Bruns

  • 18 Oct. 2025 – Paper by Axel Bruns, Samantha Vilkins, Katherine M. FitzGerald, Tariq Choucair, Daniel Angus, Caroline Gardam, Kunal Chand, Laura Vodden, Klaus Groebner, Katharina Esau, Carly Lubicz-Zaorski, and Ehsan Dehghan, presented at the 2025 Association of Internet Researchers conference, Niterói, Rio de Janeiro

Presentation Slides

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